Were closely watching the Crypto Currencies market if you possibly could think of it as that, because of the fake data, fraud, and related problems. One thing stands apart – it isn’t so distinct from FX, commodities, futures, or stocks. Market dynamics are market dynamics. And as most readers of the fine site will may have learned – nearly all traders lose. There’s been analysis done for this, everyone knows how this ends. A few early investors make a bundle and thousands or millions even are still holding the bag. From one perspective, a bubble is compared to a ponzi scheme. In MLM, there are several who amass wealth – the founders.
If you’re not the founder – how do you know which Crypto will likely be another Bitcoin? You really do not. You have no idea. You can go to Korea and do all of the required research you would like, the fact remains that it’s impossible to understand the future or even a top analyst can be wrong at times.
Quant traders have the same doctrine all of them share – they may be smart enough to know how stupid they are. They know their very own flaws and they also endure a greater power- which is Artificial Intelligence.
Computing power has become so massive that it must be likely that you can now from other home office create a sensible automated program that does well. Of course, just like the laws of market dynamics, you can even develop a robot which is worth exactly zero – a large pile of crap. When a quant makes an algorithm it’s either priceless or worthless. If it works, he’s effectively created a profitable machine. If it does not work, there’s no value to anyone not academics.
How do you understand what method works, how to construct a practical bot or get one? There are obvious conflicts appealing in those who sell bots. The internet may be dominated by good marketeers, while profitable quants mostly keep their methods to themselves. Selling a product or service, and trading a robot, are actually 2 different skills.
Crypto to date has shown exactly like most markets: impossible to trade.
While many are kicking themselves for not buying and holding, Let me tell you as being a trader and I speak for many within the room there’s no way I’d personally have experienced the patience to sit down with a hugely profitable position for several years whilst the price goes parabolic.
That’s why quants develop and trade algorithms – picking entries and exits can prove to be brain-destroying. There are dangers and risks with robots too of course, but you are of a different nature.
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